Compare/Updated Oct 26, 2026, refreshed every trading day
AGG vs BND
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF against Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF: 4 years of returns, risk and today’s technical read, from Kavout’s own data.
AGG did slightly better over the period: $1,000 invested on October 28, 2022 grew to $1,165, versus $1,161 for BND, a 16.5% versus 16.1% total return. AGG also led over three years, gaining 17.0% compared with BND’s 16.4%, while matching BND’s 0.03% expense ratio. The difference was modest: daily moves were 99.5% correlated, the typical monthly performance gap was only 0.03 points, and AGG outperformed in 27 of the last 48 months. Risk was nearly identical. AGG’s 12-month volatility was 4.1% versus 4.0% for BND, and its worst drawdown was -7.3% versus -7.2%. BND’s larger $389B asset base may appeal to investors prioritizing fund scale, while AGG’s small performance edge favored investors seeking the better result over this period.
- Price is below its 200-day average ($97); 50-day at $96.
- RSI 62, neutral. Supertrend says buy. ADX 23, so the trend is developing.
- Price is below its 200-day average ($72); 50-day at $71.
- RSI 61, neutral. Supertrend says buy. ADX 25, so the trend is developing.
Head to head
Which has returned more, AGG or BND?
AGG beat BND in 27 of the last 48 months; BND won the other 21. The typical monthly gap was 0.03 points.
Total return by period
Which is riskier?
Both: Apr 5, 2023 to Oct 19, 2023
- 0.995
- correlation of daily moves, 4 years
- 1.01
- AGG move per 1% in BND
- 0.991
- correlation, last 12 months
Month by month
Of the last 48 months. The typical gap was 0.03 points.
When did they diverge?
| Month | AGG | BND | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | -2.6% | -2.9% | +0.28 pts |
| June 2023 | -0.4% | -0.2% | -0.15 pts |
| December 2023 | +3.7% | +3.5% | +0.14 pts |
| November 2022 | +3.8% | +3.7% | +0.14 pts |
Where the numbers come from. 1000 daily adjusted closes per fund from the Kavout market-data API, dividends included. Signals and indicators are Kavout’s own, refreshed nightly. Every figure is calculated from those adjusted closes.
Holdings and fees
What do you actually own with AGG and BND?
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