Compare/Updated Oct 26, 2026, refreshed every trading day
MGK vs QQQ
Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF against Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1: 4 years of returns, risk and today’s technical read, from Kavout’s own data.
QQQ did better over the period: $1,000 invested on October 28, 2022 grew to $2,565, versus $2,470 for MGK, a 156.5% total return compared with 147.0%. QQQ also led over three years, one year, YTD, and six months, while MGK performed better over one and three months. The difference reflects QQQ’s stronger recent performance, although the funds remain highly correlated, with daily-move correlation of 0.976. QQQ carried slightly higher 12-month volatility at 20.0% versus 18.5% for MGK, while its worst drawdown was marginally less severe at -22.8% versus -23.4%. MGK is cheaper, with a 0.05% expense ratio versus QQQ’s 0.20%, but QQQ’s stronger returns outweighed that cost over this period.
- Price is above its 200-day average ($85); 50-day at $91.
- RSI 36, neutral. Supertrend says sell. ADX 25, so the trend is strong.
- Price is above its 200-day average ($676); 50-day at $725.
- RSI 37, neutral. Supertrend says sell. ADX 25, so the trend is developing.
Head to head
Which has returned more, MGK or QQQ?
MGK beat QQQ in 23 of the last 48 months; QQQ won the other 25. The typical monthly gap was 0.72 points.
Total return by period
Which is riskier?
Both: Feb 19, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025
- 0.976
- correlation of daily moves, 4 years
- 0.97
- MGK move per 1% in QQQ
- 0.941
- correlation, last 12 months
Month by month
Of the last 48 months. The typical gap was 0.72 points.
When did they diverge?
| Month | MGK | QQQ | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | -1.8% | -6.6% | +4.79 pts |
| June 2026 | -3.6% | -0.1% | -3.44 pts |
| January 2026 | -1.7% | +1.2% | -2.90 pts |
| February 2026 | -4.7% | -2.3% | -2.31 pts |
Where the numbers come from. 1000 daily adjusted closes per fund from the Kavout market-data API, dividends included. Signals and indicators are Kavout’s own, refreshed nightly. Every figure is calculated from those adjusted closes.
Holdings and fees
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