Compare/Updated Oct 26, 2026, refreshed every trading day
TECL vs TQQQ
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X ETF against ProShares UltraPro QQQ: 4 years of returns, risk and today’s technical read, from Kavout’s own data.
TECL did better over the period: $1,000 invested on October 28, 2022 grew to $7,541, versus $6,583 for TQQQ. TECL also delivered stronger recent performance, including 59.2% YTD, 56.4% over one year, and 339.7% over three years, compared with TQQQ’s 26.5%, 27.7%, and 277.7%. The outperformance came with greater risk: TECL’s 12-month volatility was 79.8% versus 59.4% for TQQQ, and its worst drawdown was -66.6% versus -58.0%. TECL’s expense ratio was slightly lower at 0.94% versus 0.97%, but TQQQ had much larger fund assets—$41B versus $7B. The funds were highly correlated, with daily-move correlation of 0.965, though TECL moved about 1.15% for every 1% move in TQQQ.
- Price is above its 200-day average ($169); 50-day at $213.
- RSI 37, neutral. Supertrend says sell. ADX 26, so the trend is strong.
- Price is above its 200-day average ($65); 50-day at $74.
- RSI 35, neutral. Supertrend says sell. ADX 25, so the trend is developing.
Head to head
Which has returned more, TECL or TQQQ?
TECL beat TQQQ in 22 of the last 48 months; TQQQ won the other 26. The typical monthly gap was 3.80 points.
Total return by period
Which is riskier?
TECL: Jul 10, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025; TQQQ: Dec 16, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025
- 0.965
- correlation of daily moves, 4 years
- 1.15
- TECL move per 1% in TQQQ
- 0.958
- correlation, last 12 months
Month by month
Of the last 48 months. The typical gap was 3.80 points.
When did they diverge?
| Month | TECL | TQQQ | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | +67.8% | +33.1% | +34.70 pts |
| April 2026 | +69.0% | +52.5% | +16.54 pts |
| June 2025 | +30.8% | +18.9% | +11.94 pts |
| January 2025 | -5.0% | +4.5% | -9.54 pts |
Where the numbers come from. 1000 daily adjusted closes per fund from the Kavout market-data API, dividends included. Signals and indicators are Kavout’s own, refreshed nightly. Every figure is calculated from those adjusted closes.
Holdings and fees
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