Factors
Momentum · US equities

Trend Momentum Factor — US

Price & return moving average, trend analysis

product_id trend_momentum_factor_us · 4800+ stocks · daily refresh · since 2003-01-01 · 2 data columns · API/CSV

curl
curl "https://www.kavout.com/api?product_id=trend_momentum_factor_us&api_key=YourAPIKey"
Add symbol / trade_date / field to filter · docs →GET · JSON · CSV

Overview

Trend momentum takes a rolling average of the price and return used in price momentum, looking to identify patterns of momentum among equities.

The trend momentums are constructed with a cross-section regression approach that provides a unified framework incorporating information used in the three major price patterns: - Short-term reversal effects - Momentum effects - Long-term reversal effects

Stocks that have high forecasted expected returns from the cross-section regression yield higher future returns on average, and stocks that have low forecasted expected returns tend to yield lower future returns on average.

Data Highlights

  • Investors seeking meaningful patterns, for trend momentum we apply a trend analysis to a security's price and return.

Performance

Statistics

MetricQ1Q2Q3Q4Q5Q6Q7Q8Q9Q10SPY
CAGR11.56%9.36%9.59%9.49%9.26%10.10%10.98%10.24%7.44%11.08%9.37%
Cumulative Return1244.48737.21779.78761.66719.41882.151086.16913.46449.831111.73678.46
Annual Volatility20.64%17.43%15.49%16.27%16.05%16.12%16.75%17.80%19.63%25.33%14.47%
Sharpe0.630.600.670.640.630.680.710.640.460.540.69
Calmar0.190.170.210.200.180.210.220.200.120.170.18
Max Drawdown-59.54%-54.46%-45.40%-48.43%-50.73%-47.64%-48.95%-52.00%-64.03%-63.64%-52.56%
Omega1.671.611.681.661.641.721.751.691.481.621.68
Sortino1.020.901.010.970.971.051.111.000.730.961.04
Skew0.30-0.56-0.60-0.46-0.31-0.46-0.230.020.301.46-0.61
Kurtosis6.505.493.654.592.895.153.474.034.8310.181.40
Tail1.111.131.161.211.281.041.091.041.211.130.99
Value At Risk-0.09-0.07-0.06-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.11-0.06
Alpha3.08%1.69%2.46%2.02%1.78%2.61%3.14%2.41%-0.70%1.90%0.00%
Beta1.201.060.951.011.011.001.051.071.171.401.00

Data through 2026-10-26

Comparison

Statistics · Q1

MetricTrend PriceTrend Return
CAGR11.56%9.55%
Cumulative Return1244.48772.88
Annual Volatility20.64%21.78%
Sharpe0.630.53
Calmar0.190.14
Max Drawdown-59.54%-68.59%
Omega1.671.54
Sortino1.020.84
Skew0.300.22
Kurtosis6.505.34
Tail1.111.03
Value At Risk-0.09-0.09
Alpha3.08%0.60%
Beta1.201.30

Data through 2026-10-26

Data

Trend momentum factor scores are available for all the tradable stock equities on the US stock exchanges, including major securities markets such as NYSE, Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial.

Coverage · top 10 sectors

SectorCountTypeStart date
Finance1,133Equities2003-01-01
Health Technology775Equities2003-01-01
Technology Services392Equities2003-01-01
Electronic Technology387Equities2003-01-01
Producer Manufacturing304Equities2003-01-01
Consumer Services286Equities2003-01-01
Non-Energy Minerals237Equities2003-01-01
Energy Minerals223Equities2003-01-01
Commercial Services223Equities2003-01-01
Industrial Services194Equities2003-01-01

Delivery & access

Trend momentum factors are calculated daily for thousands of stocks.

This data is available via API and CSV download.

Sample data

Documentation

Approach

Trend momentum utilizes moving average prices and returns respectively of various time lengths 3 days, 5 days, 10 days, 20 days, 50 days, 100 days and 200 days to capture information which is justified by a proposed general equilibrium model.

Stocks that have high forecasted expected returns from the cross-section regression yield higher future returns on average, and stocks that have low forecasted expected returns tend to yield lower future returns on average.

Factors evaluated

In order to calculate trends, trend momentum focuses on the moving averages of prices and returns. Also different from price momentum, trend momentum looks at more time cadences.

Methodology

We applied trend momentum metrics to a universe of the largest 500 US equities by market capitalization and ranked each stock on its overall trend momentum. We then divided the universe into 10 quantiles of stocks, with the top quantile (Q_10) representing the highest trend momentum stocks and the bottom quantile (Q_1) representing the lowest trend momentum stocks.

Related signals

Disclaimer: The information provided here and on kavout.com is for general informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. Kavout makes no recommendations regarding investment decisions based on this information. You are solely responsible for your investments. Please conduct your own research and consult qualified financial advisors before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. © 2026 Kavout. All rights reserved.